Comments on: Another YouGov survey on the Lib Dem leadership contest http://www.theliberati.net/quaequamblog/2007/11/26/another-yougov-survey/ "crass, boorish and more a bruiser than blogger" - Alex Wilcock Fri, 21 Nov 2008 19:29:16 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.3 By: Nick http://www.theliberati.net/quaequamblog/2007/11/26/another-yougov-survey/#comment-122112 Nick Mon, 26 Nov 2007 22:17:42 +0000 http://www.theliberati.net/quaequamblog/2007/11/26/another-yougov-survey/#comment-122112 If you include Maclennan, don't you have to include David Steel as well? From what I recall, the two of them were co-leaders of the part post-merger until Paddy was elected. I suppose you could argue that they were only in position as legacy from the two predecessor parties and, unlike Vince, they didn't get the position through any internal election. If you include Maclennan, don’t you have to include David Steel as well? From what I recall, the two of them were co-leaders of the part post-merger until Paddy was elected. I suppose you could argue that they were only in position as legacy from the two predecessor parties and, unlike Vince, they didn’t get the position through any internal election.

]]> By: Simon Titley http://www.theliberati.net/quaequamblog/2007/11/26/another-yougov-survey/#comment-122005 Simon Titley Mon, 26 Nov 2007 20:42:37 +0000 http://www.theliberati.net/quaequamblog/2007/11/26/another-yougov-survey/#comment-122005 This second YouGov poll has been commissioned by Sky News. According to a report on Political Betting last Friday (http://politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2007/11/23/will-we-know-next-weekend/), Sky "will have the results to make available on the evening of Saturday 1st December." Given the small sample size and the weighting of responses towards activists, whatever this poll says should be taken with a pinch of salt. The first YouGov poll was privately commissioned, presumably by one or other of the leadership campaigns. The potential advantage of such a poll is to publish the results to demonstrate momentum for your candidate. Given that many party members would have voted last weekend, you would have expected the poll to have been released shortly beforehand. The fact that the results have been kept under wraps suggests that the figures did not look good for the candidate concerned. This second YouGov poll has been commissioned by Sky News. According to a report on Political Betting last Friday (http://politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2007/11/23/will-we-know-next-weekend/), Sky “will have the results to make available on the evening of Saturday 1st December.”

Given the small sample size and the weighting of responses towards activists, whatever this poll says should be taken with a pinch of salt.

The first YouGov poll was privately commissioned, presumably by one or other of the leadership campaigns. The potential advantage of such a poll is to publish the results to demonstrate momentum for your candidate. Given that many party members would have voted last weekend, you would have expected the poll to have been released shortly beforehand. The fact that the results have been kept under wraps suggests that the figures did not look good for the candidate concerned.

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